Living Theses
A thesis should be
alive.
Most investment theses die in a document: written once, never re-tested, quietly wrong for months. A Neural Markets thesis is a living object — built on falsifiable pillars, monitored from the moment you save it, and scored from the day you make the Call.
Qualitative
Start with the story you believe
A thesis begins as judgment, not a number — the demand cycle you see coming, the moat you trust, the management you back. You write that conviction as plain-language pillars, and the AI helps you sharpen each one into a claim precise enough to be tested rather than a vibe you can rationalize later.
- Capture your reasoning as structured, named pillars
- AI turns a loose belief into a claim you can actually check
- Write it next to the evidence, inside the security terminal
Quantitative
Bind data that can disprove it
Each pillar gets a falsifiable condition — "gross margin stays above 73%", "share gains continue" — that the AI binds to live metrics, filings, and news. And when you make the Call, your entry price and date are stamped, so from that moment performance is scored against what you actually said, not hindsight.
- Every pillar carries an explicit, testable threshold
- The Call stamps entry price and date — the scorecard starts
- Versions preserve exactly what you believed at each point
Always on
Revisit when it matters
There is no publish step. The instant a pillar is saved it goes live, and every earnings print, filing, and headline is checked against your specific claims. Health states surface which legs still hold and which are under pressure — so a thesis re-underwrites itself in front of you instead of quietly going stale in a document.
- Monitoring binds automatically on save — no setup wizard
- Health states flag at-risk and breached pillars at a glance
- Get nudged to re-underwrite before the loss, not after
At a glance
Thesis next to the data
Written and edited inside the security terminal, one click from the evidence.
Falsifiable pillars
Every claim gets a condition that live data can confirm or break.
Scorecard from the Call
Your first rating stamps entry price and date — the track record starts there.
PDF memos
Structured, IC-ready memo export whenever you need to share the work.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a living thesis?
- A living thesis is an investment thesis that stays connected to the data after you write it. In Neural Markets, each thesis is built on falsifiable pillars bound to live metrics and news; the platform monitors them continuously and alerts you when the evidence stops supporting the story.
- What are thesis pillars?
- Pillars are the individual claims your thesis depends on — for example, "gross margin holds above 73%" or "hyperscaler capex keeps growing". Each pillar carries a testable condition and a health state (on track, at risk, breached) that updates as new data arrives.
- What is "the Call"?
- The Call is your first rating on a thesis. It stamps the entry price and date, activates the thesis, and starts the scorecard — so performance is measured against what you actually committed to, not a backfilled narrative.
- Can I share a thesis with people outside Neural Markets?
- Yes — export a structured PDF memo, or share a read-only link that renders the thesis in the browser.
Investment research is fragmented.
It shouldn't be.
Replace spreadsheets, scattered notes, and stale decks with a single tool.